Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
MP are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Kooteepee are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 67.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 17 · GA 10 · avg 3.40/2.00