Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Kooteepee are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 67.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40