Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MP 0-1 JIPPO, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
MP 1-0 JIPPO
Original prediction
JIPPO
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.02 | 22.5% | 19.3% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.3% | 26.0% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 52.3% | 54.6% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
MP 0–1 JIPPO
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MPDWLLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
JIPPOWLWWL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MPJIPPO
36.2Attack46.4
50.7Defence71.0
36.2Form58.0
43.5Power59.6
0.65xG1.32