Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while JIPPO are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20