Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
MP are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while JIPPO are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60