Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
haka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
MP are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while haka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and haka hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 65.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while haka holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
haka
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
13.5%
haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40