Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while FF Jaro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20