Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FF Jaro are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80