Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlantis · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
MP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atlantis are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlantis hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (41.1 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Atlantis holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlantis
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
13.8%
Atlantis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 20 · avg 2.20/4.00