Moyola Parkvs
Ards
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ards · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Moyola Park 0-0 Ards
Original prediction
Ards
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ards
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Ards has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Moyola ParkLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ArdsWLLLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Moyola ParkArds
33.3Attack25.0
0.0Defence41.7
25.0Form25.0
24.6Power33.8
1.57xG1.60