GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Silver Strikers · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Moyale Barracks 0-0 Silver Strikers, with an exact score probability of 22%.

Prediction record

Final result

Moyale Barracks 0-1 Silver Strikers

Original prediction

Silver Strikers

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.4226.2%19.7%-6.5 pts
Draw2.9929.9%30.0%0.0 pts
Away2.0443.9%50.3%6.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.5 pts

Projected Score

Moyale Barracks 0–0 Silver Strikers

Exact score probability: 22%

Predicted outcome

Silver Strikers

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Silver Strikers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moyale BarracksLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Silver StrikersLLDWW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Moyale BarracksSilver Strikers
35.4Attack47.9
60.4Defence77.1
43.8Form60.4
49.0Power61.3
0.51xG1.08
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