GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 6/21/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Moyale Barracks are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mitundu Baptist are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.6 against 52.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.4% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

26.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moyale BarracksDWLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mitundu BaptistWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Moyale BarracksMitundu Baptist
33.3Attack33.3
63.9Defence66.7
47.2Form50.0
50.6Power52.1
0.71xG0.66
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