GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 4/25/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moyale Barracks · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Moyale Barracks are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dedza Dynamos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Moyale Barracks hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.4% in the Super League, while Moyale Barracks holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moyale Barracks

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

22.4%

Moyale Barracks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moyale BarracksDLWWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Dedza DynamosDLDWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Moyale BarracksDedza Dynamos
33.3Attack22.2
63.9Defence50.0
47.2Form33.3
50.6Power37.8
1.11xG0.45
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