GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/23/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moyale Barracks · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Moyale Barracks are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Creck are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Moyale Barracks hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.1% in the Super League, while Moyale Barracks holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moyale Barracks

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

23.1%

Moyale Barracks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moyale BarracksLWLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CreckLDLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Moyale BarracksCreck
33.3Attack19.4
63.9Defence52.8
47.2Form13.9
50.6Power31.5
1.08xG0.43
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