Mount Pleasant Academyvs
Montego Bay United
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/27/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montego Bay United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mount Pleasant Academy 2-1 Montego Bay United
Original prediction
Montego Bay United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 07:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.9% | 27.3% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.1% | 28.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.0% | 44.5% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Montego Bay United
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Montego Bay United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60