Mount Pleasant Academyvs
Cavalier
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/5/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cavalier · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mount Pleasant Academy 1-1 Cavalier
Original prediction
Cavalier
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.8% | 33.6% | -15.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 27.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.9% | 39.3% | 15.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Cavalier
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Cavalier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20