CONCACAF Caribbean Club ShieldCONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield
Saturday, 25 July 202621:00Updated today
Mount Pleasant Academy

Mount Pleasant Academy

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vs
21:00
All Saints United

All Saints United

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GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Mount Pleasant Academy(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Mount Pleasant Academy
39%
Draw
26%
All Saints United
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.76 xG for Mount Pleasant Academy and 1.63 xG for All Saints United — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.13), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — Mount Pleasant Academy finding the net in 9 of 10 matches and All Saints United in 9 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.40 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Mount Pleasant Academy39%
Draw26%
All Saints United34%

Mount Pleasant Academy leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Mount Pleasant Academy Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Mount Pleasant Academy host All Saints United in CONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield. Mount Pleasant Academy have recorded WWWWWW in recent matches while All Saints United arrive with a run of WWWWWL. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: ⚠️ Upset Risk All Saints United have won 5 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Mount Pleasant Academy carry the stronger underlying metrics, All Saints United's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Mount Pleasant Academy hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Mount Pleasant Academy.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Mount Pleasant Academy, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If All Saints United score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • All Saints United are in decent form with 5 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.13 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mount Pleasant Academy vs All Saints United?

GoalVio's model predicts Mount Pleasant Academy to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Mount Pleasant Academy vs All Saints United?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Mount Pleasant Academy vs All Saints United?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mount Pleasant Academy vs All Saints United?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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