Motorlet Prahavs
Sparta Praha II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 10/17/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Motorlet Praha 1-1 Sparta Praha II
Original prediction
Sparta Praha II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 26.9% | 29.4% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.1% | 23.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.0% | 47.2% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha II
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Sparta Praha II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60