GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 7/21/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Motor Lublin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Motor Lublin are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Zaglebie Sosnowiec are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Motor Lublin hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the I Liga, while Motor Lublin holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Motor Lublin

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Motor Lublin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Motor LublinWDDDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Zaglebie SosnowiecDWWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Motor LublinZaglebie Sosnowiec
47.2Attack20.6
60.2Defence46.1
55.6Form15.7
56.1Power30.2
1.78xG0.54
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