Motor Lublinvs
Zaglebie Lubin
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaglebie Lubin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Motor Lublin 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Original prediction
Zaglebie Lubin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 47.4% | 36.5% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.9% | 25.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.7% | 37.6% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Zaglebie Lubin
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Zaglebie Lubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40