Motor Lublinvs
Slask Wroclaw
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/17/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motor Lublin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Motor Lublin 3-2 Slask Wroclaw
Original prediction
Motor Lublin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 49.3% | 49.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.2% | 23.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 25.6% | 27.8% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Motor Lublin
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Motor Lublin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60