GGOALVIO

Poland · Cup · 9/26/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Motor Lublin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Motor Lublin are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Puszcza Niepołomice are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Cup, while Motor Lublin holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Motor Lublin

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Motor Lublin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Motor LublinLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Puszcza NiepołomiceDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Motor LublinPuszcza Niepołomice
16.7Attack16.7
83.3Defence83.3
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power53.0
1.41xG1.20
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