Motor Lublinvs
Piast Gliwice
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/29/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piast Gliwice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Motor Lublin 0-2 Piast Gliwice
Original prediction
Piast Gliwice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.5% | 35.9% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.6% | 26.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.9% | 37.8% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Piast Gliwice
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Piast Gliwice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60