Motor Lublinvs
Lech Poznań II
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 8/9/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motor Lublin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Motor Lublin are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lech Poznań II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Motor Lublin hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Cup, while Motor Lublin holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Motor Lublin
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Motor Lublin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60