Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Motor Lublin

Motor Lublin

Home
WW
20
Full time
Hapoel Katamon

Hapoel Katamon

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Motor Lublin50%
Draw35%
Hapoel Katamon15%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Motor Lublin
Win probability
Motor Lublin
50%
Draw
35%
Hapoel Katamon
15%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Motor Lublin
94
Hapoel Katamon
9
Defence
Motor Lublin
82
Hapoel Katamon
27
Momentum
Motor Lublin
100
Hapoel Katamon
0
Danger (xG)
Motor Lublin
2.70
Hapoel Katamon
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Motor Lublin)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Hapoel Katamon)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Motor Lublin)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Hapoel Katamon)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
WWD
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon
LW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Motor Lublin50%
Draw35%
Hapoel Katamon15%

Motor Lublin leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Motor Lublin head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in decent form (WW), while Hapoel Katamon arrive in mixed form (L). Motor Lublin have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Hapoel Katamon over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Motor Lublin's elite attack (94/100) faces a vulnerable Hapoel Katamon defence (27/100), while Hapoel Katamon's attack is up against a watertight Motor Lublin backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Motor Lublin's favour.

Motor Lublin have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Hapoel Katamon have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Motor Lublin have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Motor Lublin to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Motor Lublin 5044%, Draw 3500%, Hapoel Katamon 1456%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Motor Lublin 1Draws 00 Hapoel Katamon
Avg goals: 2.0
17 Jul 2026
Motor Lublin
W20
Hapoel Katamon

Recent form

Motor Lublin

Motor Lublin

W
vs Hapoel Katamon
17 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Warta Poznań
3 Jul 2026
41
D
vs Cracovia Krakow
16 May 2026
33
Hapoel Katamon

Hapoel Katamon

L
@ Motor Lublin
17 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Ashdod
13 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Hapoel Katamon?

GoalVio's model predicts Motor Lublin to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Motor Lublin vs Hapoel Katamon?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Motor Lublin vs Hapoel Katamon?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Motor Lublin vs Hapoel Katamon?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more