Motor Lublinvs
Gornik Zabrze
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/19/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gornik Zabrze · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Motor Lublin 0-0 Gornik Zabrze
Original prediction
Gornik Zabrze
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 28.9% | 26.1% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.5% | 25.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 44.6% | 48.8% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Gornik Zabrze
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Gornik Zabrze has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00