Motherwellvs
SC Freiburg
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motherwell · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Motherwell are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Motherwell hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (80.7 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Motherwell holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Motherwell
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
11.5%
Motherwell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60