Motherwellvs
Kilmarnock
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motherwell · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Motherwell are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kilmarnock are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Motherwell hold a 41.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Premiership, while Motherwell holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Motherwell
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Motherwell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60