GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/13/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Motherwell · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Motherwell are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hibernian are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Motherwell hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Premiership, while Motherwell holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Motherwell

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Motherwell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MotherwellDWWDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HibernianWLWLL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MotherwellHibernian
33.3Attack50.0
83.3Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power53.0
1.45xG1.12
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