Motherwellvs
Heart Of Midlothian
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Motherwell 0-2 Heart Of Midlothian
Original prediction
Heart Of Midlothian
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.14 | 29.8% | 27.1% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 26.0% | 24.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 44.2% | 48.4% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Heart Of Midlothian
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20