Motherwellvs
HB
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motherwell · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Motherwell are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while HB are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Motherwell hold a 67.6-point power-rating edge (80.7 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Motherwell holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Motherwell
Probability
66.9%
Model confidence
66.9%
Motherwell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80