Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Motherwell

Motherwell

Home
L
34
Full time
Genk

Genk

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Genk33%
Motherwell33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Genk
Win probability
Motherwell
33%
Draw
33%
Genk
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Motherwell
94
Genk
99
Defence
Motherwell
1
Genk
6
Momentum
Motherwell
0
Genk
100
Danger (xG)
Motherwell
2.70
Genk
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Motherwell)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Genk)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Motherwell)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Genk)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MotherwellMotherwell
LWL
GenkGenk
WDW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Motherwell33%
Draw33%
Genk33%

Genk leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Motherwell head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Genk arrive in mixed form (W). Motherwell have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Genk over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Motherwell (94/100) and Genk (99/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Motherwell have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Genk have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Genk have generated 3.27 xG per game recently while conceding 0.54 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Genk have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 7.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Genk to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Motherwell 3333%, Draw 3333%, Genk 3334%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Motherwell 0Draws 01 Genk
Avg goals: 7.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Motherwell
L34
Genk

Recent form

Motherwell

Motherwell

L
vs Genk
17 Jul 2026
34
W
@ Hibernian
16 May 2026
10
L
vs Celtic
13 May 2026
12
Genk

Genk

W
@ Motherwell
17 Jul 2026
43
D
@ Standard Liege
16 May 2026
00
W
vs Malmo FF
29 Jan 2026
21
xG 3.3

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Motherwell vs Genk?

GoalVio's model predicts Genk to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Genk?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Motherwell vs Genk?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Motherwell vs Genk?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more