Motherwellvs
Dundee Utd
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/2/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motherwell · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Motherwell 3-0 Dundee Utd
Original prediction
Motherwell
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 46.8% | 47.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 26.2% | 25.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 27.1% | 27.0% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Motherwell
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Motherwell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20