Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandviken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Motala are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Sandviken are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sandviken hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 72.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.9% in the Ettan - Norra, while Sandviken holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sandviken
Probability
73.9%
Model confidence
73.9%
Sandviken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.50/2.25
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80