Mostaganemvs
Hussein Dey
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mostaganem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mostaganem 1-0 Hussein Dey
Original prediction
Mostaganem
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 11:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 41.9% | 38.4% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.1% | 29.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 28.0% | 31.8% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Mostaganem
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Mostaganem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00