Mostavs
Valletta FC
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valletta FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mosta 0-2 Valletta FC
Original prediction
Valletta FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.66 | 16.1% | 20.5% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.8% | 22.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.1% | 56.9% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Valletta FC
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Valletta FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60