Mostavs
Sliema Wanderers
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mosta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mosta 1-3 Sliema Wanderers
Original prediction
Mosta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.34 | 20.9% | 43.3% | 22.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.9% | 25.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 55.2% | 30.9% | -24.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Mosta
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Mosta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MostaDWWWD
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sliema WanderersWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MostaSliema Wanderers
50.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence50.0
83.3Form50.0
75.3Power47.8
1.58xG0.78