Mostavs
Hibernians
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mosta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mosta 2-2 Hibernians
Original prediction
Mosta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 29.8% | 42.6% | 12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.1% | 26.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.1% | 30.5% | -12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Mosta
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Mosta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MostaLDDDL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HiberniansWWDLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MostaHibernians
48.1Attack33.3
51.9Defence55.6
48.1Form44.4
51.8Power46.6
1.39xG0.90