Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Start · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Moss are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Start are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Start hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the 1. Division, while Start holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Start
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Start has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80