Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Moss are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Stabaek are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.8% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
78.8%
Model confidence
78.8%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80