Mossvs
Kongsvinger
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 10/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kongsvinger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-4 (8%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Moss 0-2 Kongsvinger
Original prediction
Kongsvinger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.88 | 23.7% | 22.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.8% | 20.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 55.5% | 56.9% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–48%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
Kongsvinger
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Kongsvinger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 22 · GA 9 · avg 4.40/1.80