Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bryne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Moss are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bryne are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bryne hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the 1. Division, while Bryne holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bryne
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
9.3%
Bryne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40