GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Morton 0-0 Queen's Park, with an exact score probability of 21%.

Prediction record

Final result

Morton 2-0 Queen's Park

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4836.9%36.1%-0.8 pts
Draw3.1728.9%31.0%2.1 pts
Away2.6834.2%32.9%-1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.1 pts

Projected Score

Morton 0–0 Queen's Park

Exact score probability: 21%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.0%

Model confidence

36.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MortonWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Queen's ParkWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MortonQueen's Park
20.0Attack20.0
43.3Defence46.7
13.3Form23.3
29.1Power33.6
0.84xG0.79
View match centre →