Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Partick · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Morton are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Partick are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Partick hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Championship, while Partick holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Partick
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Partick has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00