Mortonvs
Livingston
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/11/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Livingston · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Morton 0-0 Livingston, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Morton 1-4 Livingston
Original prediction
Livingston
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.09 | 17.9% | 26.6% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.6% | 29.1% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 59.4% | 44.3% | -15.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Projected Score
Morton 0–0 Livingston
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Livingston
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Livingston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MortonLDLLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LivingstonLLWLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
MortonLivingston
20.0Attack26.7
46.7Defence73.3
6.7Form40.0
28.1Power47.7
0.75xG1.02