League CupLeague Cup
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Morton

Morton

Home
L
01
Full time
Inverness CT

Inverness CT

Away
W
Cappielow Park
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Morton(16%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Morton
16%
Draw
22%
Inverness CT
61%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Morton
9
Inverness CT
99
Defence
Morton
27
Inverness CT
66
Momentum
Morton
0
Inverness CT
100
Danger (xG)
Morton
0.00
Inverness CT
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Morton)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Inverness CT)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Morton)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Inverness CT)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MortonMorton
L
Inverness CTInverness CT
DW

Probability breakdown

61% confidence
Morton16%
Draw22%
Inverness CT61%

Inverness CT leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Morton head into this in League Cup fixture at Cappielow Park in mixed form (L), while Inverness CT arrive in mixed form (W). Morton have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Inverness CT over 1 games.

Tactically, Inverness CT hold the edge. Their elite attack (99/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Morton defence (27/100), while Morton's attack faces a solid Inverness CT backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Morton have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Inverness CT have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Morton and Inverness CT in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Morton to win with 61% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Morton 1637%, Draw 2227%, Inverness CT 6136%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Morton

Morton

L
@ East Fife
14 Jul 2026
02
Inverness CT

Inverness CT

D
vs East Fife
11 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Cove Rangers
7 Jul 2026
41

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Morton vs Inverness CT?

GoalVio's model predicts Morton to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Morton vs Inverness CT?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Morton vs Inverness CT?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Morton vs Inverness CT?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more