Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arbroath · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Morton 1-2 Arbroath
Original prediction
Arbroath
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Arbroath
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Arbroath has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MortonLLLLL
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/1.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
ArbroathDLWLL
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
MortonArbroath
0.0Attack0.0
50.0Defence66.7
0.0Form16.7
21.5Power31.3
1.07xG1.04