Mortáguavs
Benfica Castelo Branco
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 9/3/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Mortágua are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Benfica Castelo Branco are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica Castelo Branco hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00