GGOALVIO

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 9/3/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mortágua are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Benfica Castelo Branco are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica Castelo Branco hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MortáguaDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 0/2
Benfica Castelo BrancoDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
MortáguaBenfica Castelo Branco
38.5Attack43.6
53.8Defence62.8
47.4Form47.4
49.2Power52.5
0.91xG1.11
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