Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morrinhos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Morrinhos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tupy FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Morrinhos hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.7% in the Goiano - 2, while Morrinhos holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morrinhos
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
15.7%
Morrinhos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80