Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rio Verde · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Morrinhos 0-0 Rio Verde
Original prediction
Rio Verde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Rio Verde
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
Rio Verde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MorrinhosWLDLD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Rio VerdeWWDWL
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MorrinhosRio Verde
52.8Attack55.6
52.8Defence80.6
50.0Form72.2
54.0Power70.2
0.77xG1.51