Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morrinhos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Morrinhos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mineiros are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Morrinhos hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 34.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Goiano - 2, while Morrinhos holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morrinhos
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Morrinhos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50